Australian Flag

Victorian politics: spot the future leader

The Victorian election is just two years away. For those with an abiding interest in Victorian politics and establishing and maintaining dialogue with the State Government, now is the time to develop relationships with parliamentarians who are destined for higher office.

If the Baillieu Government retains office after the 2014 election, there will inevitably be changes in the ministry. Another reason to take a close interest in rising stars is that there could perhaps be a ministerial reshuffle before the next State election.

At this stage, we have confined our interest to the parliamentary Liberal Party. We shall look at the ALP and the National Party later on.

The Libs have several members outside the present ministry that look to have what it takes to make it into cabinet. We have identified four in the Legislative Assembly and two in the Legislative Council, but there may be more. We shall discuss them as we find them.

The two Upper House members that present themselves are Ed O’Donohue and Andrea Coote. Both are Parliamentary Secretaries (which is effectively a traineeship for a Ministry). Andrea is Parliamentary Secretary for Families and Community Services and Ed is Parliamentary Secretary for Transport. Both work hard, keep themselves well informed and are very articulate.

Andrea was close to Peter Costello. Because of tension between Baillieu and Costello, this nexus became an issue while the Libs were in Opposition, but it appears that at least some of the fences have been mended. Andrea is MLC for Southern Metropolitan.

Ed O’Donohue is still young but he has excellent presence and interpersonal skills. Ed is MLC for Eastern Victoria.

In the lower house, Heidi Victoria (MLA for Bayswater) is Parliamentary Secretary to the Premier and Parliamentary Secretary assisting the Premier with the Arts. She has impressed everyone we know with whom she has had dealings. She is strong, well-networked, efficient and very much on top of the job.

Gary Blackwood (MLA for Narracan) is Parliamentary Secretary for Forestry and Fisheries. David Southwick is the Member for Caulfield. Both are well regarded. David coordinates the interface between sitting members and the policy forums inside the Liberal Party. This is a complex and delicate job and he does it well.

A recent entrant into parliament is Andrew Katos, Member for South Barwon. Andrew is very energetic and an excellent networker. It’s early days, but – providing the Liberal Party can retain government – Andrew is a candidate for promotion.

The Libs need to win a second term and that is by no means assured. However, it never hurts to be aware of potential state leaders and look at opportunities to develop appropriate relationships.

GO

Cricket equipment.

Getting on the front foot

With the summer of Cricket already upon us it is worth reflecting on the business lessons that can be drawn from a casual observation of the basic strategies of the game.

  • In the classic five-day version of the game a batsman has the time to build a score, pick loose balls and sloppy deliveries, develop confidence and read the style of each of the bowlers.
  • In the short versions of the game patient consideration is replaced by the need for a quick score.
  • One-day and 20/20 are exciting to watch, but the risks taken are far higher than at test level.
  • A national cricket team needs to have a variety of skills, resources and strategies for success in the short and long game.
  • Building that team is a tricky balance for national selectors and team captains.
  • The objective of any team member is to help the team succeed in whatever version of the game is being played.
  • Taking a risk may be seen as holding some personal downside yet not taking any will ultimately result in failure.
  • Leaders need to encourage the right mix of conservatism and risk taking. 
  • Risk comes with attendant occasional failure and from failure, often, comes learning.
  • Creating the right environment for appropriate risk taking and resultant learning, is as much part of the leader’s role as the setting of the overall strategy.

I leave you to draw the parallels with the business world.

RM

leadership : on goldfish in front of group, isolated on a white background

The leadership expectation & why the boss is always in play

We are well used to showbiz personalities and politicians being put under a constant media spotlight. Their every personal failing and peccadillo broadcast for the amusement, titillation and schadenfreude of the avaricious and unforgiving mass media audience.

But now it would appear that the same harsh light is being focused on our public service and corporate leaders. At least when it comes to their behavior when faced with a crisis which has public implications or, at least, a cloak of public interest to justify a media feeding frenzy.

Three recent examples underscore the need for public service and corporate leaders to be very aware of their public image at times of potential, developing and actual crisis.

They are crucifixion of Christine Nixon, the disgrace of former DJs CEO Mark McInnes  and the public pillorying of BP CEO  Tony Hayward.

Granted the later has either knowingly, or arrogantly, managed to cover himself in glory in inverse proportion to the amount of oil covering the Gulf of Mexico. However he still stands as a clear object lesson as to the perception of the  required public action of a CEO dealing with such a catastrophe.

Either he is incredibly insensitive or just plain could not care less how he is perceived, or both. How else could one explain comments such as “I just want to get my life back” and “we care about the little people ” and actions such as leaving the crisis scene to go sailing on his multi-million dollar racing yacht, whilst wearing a Rolls Royce cap. Of all things, sailing!

It cannot be possible that he is taking the advice of any corporate communications advisor worth their salt (no pun intended).

He may not be able to do much about the spill personally by remaining on site and he may well have able lieutenants dealing with it as best they can but, the perception of not being there and of not caring is intensely negative. A commander is expected to be at the battlefront and in charge, not away on a far hill, or further. In the modern warfare analogy this may not actually be the case but it does not change the expectation and most importantly, the perception.

This is where Christine Nixon got into trouble.

No one doubts her empathetic skills, her genuine concern or her dedication to repairing the damage of Black Saturday. The problem came from a perception that she should have realized that there was a developing catastrophe and been there as it unfolded. What difference it would have made is a moot point. The point is she should have known that people would be expecting her, as a leader, not to leave the post in such a time of crisis.

Error of judgment or lack of true understanding of how the community perceives leadership and expects of its leaders? Again possibly both.

In Mark McInnes’ case the term ‘error of judgment’ is the best construction that can be put on events as they were disclosed.

Leaders are the culture setters in their organization. If they cannot discern the difference between appropriate and inappropriate behavior what chance the ‘little people’?

The days of sweeping such indiscretions under the plush carpet are well and truly over. Particularly when the media love to feed off such salaciousness. DJs did the right thing and had no choice but to say goodbye to their CEO.

Experienced communication advisors, often dismissed as spin doctors, are critical in dealing with public perception and expectation issues at times of crisis. They should be setting the clear guidelines, even for the CEO and Board (perhaps particularly for them) as to how the company communicates and what image it projects. CEOs who ignore such advice do so at the peril of their personal and their company’s public image.

Finally, just because I have used a military analogy and to prove that all leaders need to be aware of the harshness of the media glare, General Stanley McChrystal shoots his mouth off. All too human but not what is expected of such a leader. Result? He got sacked.

chinese flag

China as the silver lining

There has been much speculation in the media as to the impact on Australia of an economic slowdown in China.

The doomsayers have been running various scenarios suggesting that Australia will no longer be in a position of relative insulation from the deep economic mire of Europe and the weak recovery of the USA.

Whilst this sort of alarmism may sell papers (if anything does nowadays) it is not founded on any critical analysis of what is really happening in China.  Having recently visited The People’s Republic I can attest that the economic activity in the Middle Kingdom is at a level difficult for visitors to comprehend.

No lesser commentator than mining billionaire Andrew Forest rubbished any negative view of Chinese economic development. One would think he has a very powerful incentive to know what is going on with our largest trading partner.

Just a few facts from the CIA World Factbook.

China has a population of  1.34 billion (estimated  in 2011) with an annual growth rate of 7 million per annum. The median age is 35, the urban population is 47% and an additional 32 million people each year move to one of China’s 120 cities with a population of over 1 million.

The rates of population growth and urbanization are massive drivers of economic growth. The alternative to building the infrastructure to cope with that growth would be the levels of appalling poverty seen in places such as India. Add to that the fact that near 100% of the population can expect to have 12 years of formal schooling and it is easy to see why the population has increasing levels of aspiration for more than just the basics of life.

The tightly controlled political system is a trade-off against the economic growth that offers the opportunity for financial progression for a large proportion of the population.

Managing such a level of growth throws up numerous challenges. Arguably the most pressing would be keeping inflation under control and meeting at least some of the aspirations of the increasingly middle class population whilst not letting the gap between the rich and the not so rich get too large.

The Central Committee of the CCP knows that, as much as the populace has traded increasing prosperity for political freedom, if economic prosperity is not forthcoming and not reasonably spread, the opening for social and political unrest will emerge very quickly.

It is obvious that the current high rate of growth will need to be managed and that will result in a steadier pace of growth than the enormous spikes of the last 20 years. None-the-less, the growth must continue at a significant pace if the Party is to keep up with the social transition to an urbanized, educated, middle class society. A transition they initiated in the wake of the last great political upheaval – the Tianamin Square protests of 2001.

A quick look around Beijing confirmed that it is a megalopolis unlike most others. It works. It is clean, surprisingly green, well served by transport infrastructure (even if the roads are very busy) and host to conspicuous consumer consumption at a level that surpasses even some oil rich Arabian states.

The obvious ongoing development occurs with none of the restrictions of democratic western states. If a policy decision has been taken that something needs to be built, it is; with minimal delay.

What is occurring in the world’s most populous nation is nothing short of breathtaking in its scale and it will continue into the foreseeable future.

For Australia accidents of nature, geography and history have placed us, as a developed stable nation, on the doorstep of a rapidly developing neighbor that has an insatiable hunger for our abundant natural resources combined with the wherewithal to pay for them. Proof indeed that, for some time to come, we are indeed the lucky country. We should be displaying far more confidence in the future than we appear to.

So while the media do their Chicken Little impersonations what we should be doing, as a nation, is making the most of this golden opportunity.

I leave it to you to review the current political landscape and draw conclusions as to how we are going with that.